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Horgan, NDP Out Front With Big Lead As BC Heads To Election Day On October 24
- October 2, 2020
A new Ipsos poll conducted for Global News suggests the BC NDP has substantial leads in voter preference and leadership, and in every region in the province. The NDP has an 18-point lead over the BC Liberals just one week into the campaign, the poll suggests. But the race is far from over. The results exclude the 31 per cent of British Columbians who are undecided or express no preference.
VANCOUVER – BC NDP leader John Horgan seems to have made the right call with the fall election and voters seem to be backing him, according to a new opinion poll.
A new Ipsos poll conducted for Global News suggests the BC NDP has substantial leads in voter preference and leadership, and in every region in the province.
The NDP has an 18-point lead over the BC Liberals just one week into the campaign, the poll suggests.
The poll found 51 per cent of decided voters surveyed would be most likely to support or lean toward the New Democrats.
But the race is far from over. The results exclude the 31 per cent of British Columbians who are undecided or express no preference.
“The good news for the BC Liberals and Greens is that there are more undecided voters available this election compared to the start of the 2017 campaign, 31 per cent today versus 23 per cent in the first poll of the 2017 campaign,” Ipsos Public Affairs senior vice president Kyle Braid said in a statement.
The NDP leads by a wide margin across all age groups, according to the poll, including by 18 points among traditionally higher turnout older voters. The NDP is getting the support of 52 per cent of those polled, compared to 34 per cent for the Liberals, among respondents aged 55 years and older.
The NDP have a 25-point lead among women, with 53 per cent supporting the NDP compared to 28 per cent for the Liberals.
In terms of who would be the best premier, Horgan was the choice for 44 per cent of voters who responded to the poll. Liberal Leader Andrew Wilkinson was chosen by 14 per cent of people surveyed, and new Green Party Leader Sonia Furstenau is the choice of six per cent.
There does not seem to be a huge groundswell of anger towards the NDP over the decision to call an early election. The poll suggests 46 per cent of British Columbians disapprove of the early call, while 32 per cent approve the decision.
The top issue in the election is COVID-19, according to the poll, with 30 per cent of voters mentioning it as a crucial issue. Ipsos found 45 per cent of voters believe Horgan is the best leader to deal with the issue, while 14 per cent said Wilkinson and seven per cent said Furstenau. A little over one third, 35 per cent, had no opinion.
“British Columbians care about a wide variety of different issues in this provincial election. Coronavirus/COVID-19 is at the top of the list but is still only mentioned by three-in-ten (30 per cent) residents,” Braid said.
“Other important issues include cost of living/affordability (24 per cent), jobs and the economy (19 per cent), health care (19 per cent) and housing affordability/availability (17 per cent).”
The NDP is leading in every region of the province. The party has a large 26-point lead on Vancouver Island and a 23-point lead in Metro Vancouver, the poll suggests.
In Metro Vancouver, 55 per cent of voters prefer the NDP over 32 per cent of voters preferring the BC Liberals.
Things are much closer in the Southern Interior and North regions, where the NDP has only a 5-point lead.
The Green Party does best on Vancouver Island at 20 per cent support.